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《新科学家》 2026年10月3日 · 中文解读

厄尔尼诺高温到明年2月或致50万人死亡

El Niño heat could kill half a million people by February · Michael Le Page
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气候科学家警告,创纪录的厄尔尼诺带来的高温可能导致全球约45万人在明年2月前死亡。这一估算基于过去极端气温与超额死亡人数的关系,由芝加哥大学气候影响实验室发布。研究预计非洲受灾最重,仅尼日利亚未来数月就可能多出3万余人死亡。
原文开头
AROUND 450,000 people worldwide could die by February as a result of hotter weather caused by the record-breaking El Niño, climate scientists are warning. The estimate is based on how many deaths have resulted from past temperature extremes around the world. “We’re hoping this information is actionable, that decisions can be made to move resources ahead of time,” says Emily Grover-Kopec at the Rhodium Group, an independent research provider. This could include assigning health workers to check on the most vulnerable, ensuring people have enough water and providing fans or air conditioning. Most of the deaths in the next few months will be in the southern hemisphere, because the extra heat will coincide with spring and summer there. …
摘自《新科学家》(New Scientist)2026年10月3日,Michael Le Page。仅引用开头一小段供了解文章,版权归原刊所有,全文请阅读原刊。
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