混沌机器：预测市场与加密无政府主义的胜利

Prediction markets and the triumph of crypto-anarchy By Finn Brunton At first, the emails were polite. Strangers wrote to the Israeli journalist Emanuel Fabian about his reporting on an Iranian missile strike on March 10. They were requesting clarification and an update: Was it a missile or the fragments of a missile interceptor? It was a missile, Fabian replied, as confirmed by the Israeli military and a video of the massive explosion in the city of Beit Shemesh. More messages came: You must be wrong, they read. You are spreading inaccurate information. Could you clarify in print, please, that these were in fact interceptor fragments? Within hours, the messages became more urgent. …