What a Smart Scarecrow Says About How AI May Change the Economy · Stacey Vanek Smith
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● By Stacey Vanek Smith In 2020 two economists walked into a bar in San Diego and made a bet. Erik Brynjolfsson, head of the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, wagered that from 2020 to 2030, artificial intelligence would drive US labor productivity growth to more than 1.8% per year on average. Robert Gordon, an economist at Northwestern University, thought AI progress would be a little slower going. He put his money on productivity growth coming in below 1.8%. At stake: $400, to be donated to charity. As wonky and low stakes as the bet might sound, its outcome will have a much greater impact on our welfare than almost any- thing Polymarket could dream up. …
摘自《彭博商业周刊》(Bloomberg Businessweek)2026年6月刊,Stacey Vanek Smith。仅引用开头一小段供了解文章,版权归原刊所有,全文请阅读原刊。